Isiqalo esihle!Izinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle kunye nokuthunyelwa ngaphandle kweTshayina kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala zalo nyaka zigqithise kakhulu ubulindelwe yimarike

Ukungenisa nokuthumela ngaphandle ukusebenza kweTshayina kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala zalo nyaka bekude ngaphaya kokulindela kweemarike, ngakumbi ukususela ngo-1995, ngokutsho kwedatha ekhutshwe yi-General Administration of Customs ngo-Matshi 7. Ukongeza, urhwebo lwaseChina kunye namaqabane amakhulu orhwebo luye lwanda kakhulu, ebonisa ukuba indibaniselwano yeTshayina noqoqosho lwehlabathi iye nzulu ngakumbi.I-Reuters inike ingxelo yokuba i-China ilawule ngempumelelo ubhubhane, kwaye iiodolo zezixhobo zokulwa ubhubhane phesheya ziqhubekile.Ukuphunyezwa kwamanyathelo okuzihlukanisa ekhaya kumazwe amaninzi kwakhokelela ekuqhambukeni kwemfuno yempahla yasekhaya kunye ne-elektroniki yabathengi, nto leyo eyakhokelela ekuvuleni urhwebo lwangaphandle lwaseTshayina ngo-2021. Nangona kunjalo, uLawulo Jikelele lwamasiko luye lwabonisa ukuba imeko yezoqoqosho yehlabathi. entsonkothileyo kwaye inzima, kwaye urhwebo lwangaphandle lwaseTshayina lunendlela ende yokuhamba.
Elona zinga lokukhula ngokukhawuleza kwempahla ethunyelwa ngaphandle ukususela ngo-1995
Ngokutsho kwedatha yoLawulo Jikelele lwamasiko, ixabiso lilonke lokuthengiswa kwempahla yaseChina kunye nokuthumela ngaphandle kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala zalo nyaka yi-5.44 yezigidigidi ze-yuan, ukwanda kwe-32.2% ngexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo.Phakathi kwazo, ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwaba yi-3.06 yeetriliyoni zeeyuan, ukunyuka nge-50.1%;ukungenisa elizweni kwaba 2.38 yetriliyoni yuan, phezulu 14.5%.Ixabiso lifakwe kwi-dollar yase-US, kwaye ixabiso elipheleleyo lokungenisa kunye nokuthumela ngaphandle kwe-China liye landa nge-41.2% kwiinyanga ezimbini ezidlulileyo.Phakathi kwazo, ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle kunyuke nge-60.6%, ukungeniswa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kunyuke nge-22.2%, kunye nokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kunyuke nge-154% ngoFebruwari.I-AFP igxininise kwingxelo yayo ukuba lelona zinga lokukhula okukhawulezayo kumava okuthunyelwa ngaphandle kweTshayina ukusukela ngo-1995.

I-ASEAN, i-EU, i-United States kunye ne-Japan ngamaqabane amane amashishini amakhulu e-China ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuFebruwari, kunye namazinga okukhula kwezorhwebo kwi-32.9%, 39.8%, 69.6% kunye ne-27.4% kwi-RMB ngokulandelanayo.Ngokutsho kweGeneral Administration of customs, ukuthunyelwa kwe-China eUnited States kufikelele kwi-525.39 yebhiliyoni ye-yuan, i-75.1 yeepesenti kwiinyanga ezimbini ezidlulileyo, ngelixa i-surplus yorhwebo kunye ne-United States yayiyi-33.44 yeebhiliyoni zeeyuan, ukwanda kwe-88.2 ekhulwini.Ngexesha elifanayo kulo nyaka uphelileyo, ukungenisa kunye nokuthumela ngaphandle phakathi kwe-China kunye ne-United States kwehle ngeepesenti ze-19.6.

Ngokubanzi, isikali sokungenisa kunye nokuthumela ngaphandle kweTshayina kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala zalo nyaka asikude nje ngaphaya kwexesha elifanayo lalo nyaka uphelileyo, kodwa sikwanyuke nge-20% xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo ngo-2018 nango-2019 ngaphambi kokuqhambuka.U-Huojianguo, usekela mongameli weWorld Trade Organisation Research Association of China, uxelele amaxesha ehlabathi nge-7 kaMatshi ukuba ukungenisa nokuthumela ngaphandle kweTshayina kwehle kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala zonyaka ophelileyo ngenxa yefuthe lobhubhani.Ngokusekelwe kwisiseko esisezantsi, idatha yokungenisa kunye nokuthumela ngaphandle kulo nyaka kufuneka ibe nokusebenza kakuhle, kodwa idatha ekhutshwe yi-General Administration of customs isagqithise kakhulu ubulindelekileyo.

Ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwe-China kuye kwanda kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala zalo nyaka, kubonisa imfuno eyomeleleyo yehlabathi yezinto ezenziweyo, kwaye ixhamle ekwehleni kwesiseko ngenxa yokudodobala koqoqosho kwangelo xesha linye kulo nyaka uphelileyo, uhlalutyo lweBloomberg lwatsho.Ulawulo Jikelele lweCustoms lukholelwa ukuba urhwebo lwangaphandle kunye nokukhula kwe-China kumazwe angaphandle kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala kucacile, "akukho buthathaka kwi-off-season", eqhubeka ngokukhawuleza ukususela ngoJuni kulo nyaka uphelileyo.Phakathi kwazo, ukunyuka kweemfuno zangaphandle okubangelwa ukubuyiswa kwemveliso kunye nokusetyenziswa kuqoqosho lwaseYurophu naseMelika kuye kwakhokelela ekukhuleni kwemveliso yaseChina.

Ukwanda okubonakalayo kokungeniswa kwemathiriyeli ekrwada eziphambili

Uqoqosho lwangaphakathi luluhle ngokuqhubekayo, kwaye i-PMI yoshishino lwemveliso isendleleni yempumelelo kwaye ibuna kangangeenyanga ezili-12.Ishishini linethemba elingaphezulu malunga nokulindelweyo kwixesha elizayo, elikhuthaza ukuthengwa kwesekethe edibeneyo, iimveliso zemithombo yamandla njengesekethe edibeneyo, intsimbi yentsimbi kunye ne-oyile ekrwada.Nangona kunjalo, ukuguquguquka okukhulu kwamaxabiso eemveliso kumazwe ngamazwe phakathi kweendidi ezahlukeneyo nako kubangela utshintsho olubalulekileyo kumthamo wexabiso lezi mveliso xa iTshayina izingenisa kumazwe angaphandle.

Ngokutsho kwedatha ye-General Administration of customs, kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala zalo nyaka, i-China ingenisa i-82 yezigidi zeetoni zentsimbi yentsimbi, ukunyuka kwe-2.8%, ixabiso lexabiso lokungenisa eliphakathi kwe-942.1 yuan, ukuya kuma-46,7%;i-oyile ekrwada ethengwe kumazwe angaphandle ifikelele kwi-89.568 yezigidi zeetoni, ukwanda kwe-4.1%, kwaye ixabiso eliphakathi laliyi-2470.5 yuan ngetoni nganye, lehle nge-27.5%, libangele ukuhla nge-24.6% kwixabiso lilonke.

Uxinzelelo lonikezelo lwetshiphu yehlabathi lukwachaphazele iChina.Ngokutsho koLawulo Jikelele lwamasiko, i-China ingenise i-96.4 yeebhiliyoni zeesekethe ezihlanganisiweyo kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala zalo nyaka, ngexabiso lilonke le-376.16 yeebhiliyoni ze-yuan, kunye nokunyuka okubalulekileyo kwe-36% kunye ne-25.9% ngobuninzi kunye nemali xa kuthelekiswa okufanayo. ixesha kunyaka ophelileyo.

Ngokuphathelele ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, ngenxa yokuba ubhubhani wehlabathi lonke awukaqhamuki ngexesha elifanayo kulo nyaka uphelileyo, ukuthunyelwa kwezixhobo zonyango kunye nezixhobo eChina kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala zalo nyaka kwakuyi-yuan eyi-18.29 yeebhiliyoni. 63.8% xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo.Ukongeza, ngenxa yokuba i-China yayikhokele kulawulo olusebenzayo lwe-COVID-19, ukufunyanwa kwakhona kunye nokuveliswa kwefowuni ephathwayo kwakukuhle, kwaye ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kweefowuni eziphathwayo, izixhobo zasekhaya kunye neemoto kunyuke kakhulu.Phakathi kwazo, ukuthunyelwa kweefowuni eziphathwayo kumazwe angaphandle kunyuke nge-50%, kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwempahla yasekhaya kunye neemoto kumazwe angaphandle kufikelele kwi-80% kunye ne-90% ngokulandelelanayo.

U-Huojianguo uhlalutye kumaxesha ehlabathi ukuba uqoqosho lwase-China luqhubekile nokuphucula, ukuzithemba kwimarike kubuyiselwe kwaye imveliso yeshishini yayilungile, ngoko ke ukuthengwa kwezinto eziphambili zekrwada kwanda kakhulu.Ukongeza, ngenxa yokuba imeko yobhubhane kumazwe angaphandle isanwenwa kwaye amandla akanakubuyiselwa, i-China iyaqhubeka nokudlala indima yesiseko soveliso lwehlabathi, ibonelela ngenkxaso eyomeleleyo yokuchacha kobhubhane wehlabathi.

Imeko yangaphandle isembi

I-General Administration of Customs of China ikholelwa ukuba urhwebo lwangaphandle lwaseTshayina luvule iingcango zalo kwiinyanga ezimbini ezidlulileyo, oluvule isiqalo esihle unyaka wonke.Uphando lubonisa ukuba imiyalelo yokuthumela ngaphandle yamashishini aseTshayina athumela ngaphandle iye yanda kwiminyaka yamuva nje, ibonisa ukulindela okuthembayo kwimeko yokuthumela ngaphandle kwiinyanga ezi-2-3 ezizayo.I-Bloomberg ikholelwa ukuba ukuthengiswa kwe-China okukhulayo kumazwe angaphandle kuye kwanceda ekuxhaseni ukuchacha kwe-China kubhubhani obume okwe-V kunye nokwenza i-China ibe lelona lizwe likhulayo kuqoqosho olukhulu lwehlabathi ngo-2020.

Ngomhla wesi-5 kuMatshi, ingxelo yomsebenzi karhulumente yathi i-China ijolise ekukhuleni koqoqosho ngo-2021 ibekwe ngaphezulu kwe-6 pesenti.U-Huojianguo uthe ukuthunyelwa kwe-China kumazwe angaphandle kunyuke kakhulu kwiinyanga ezimbini ezidlulileyo ngenxa yokuba izinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle zibandakanyiwe kwi-GDP, ibeka isiseko esiluqilima sokuphumeza injongo yonyaka opheleleyo.

Inyumoniya entsha ye-coronavirus nayo iyasasazeka kwihlabathi jikelele, kwaye izinto ezingazinzanga nezingaqinisekanga kwimeko yamazwe ngamazwe ziyanda.Imeko yezoqoqosho yehlabathi intsonkothile yaye iqatha.Urhwebo lwangaphandle lwaseTshayina lusakhula ngokuthe ngcembe.UHuweijun, umalathisi wezoqoqosho waseTshayina kwiMacquarie, iziko lezemali, uqikelela ukuba ukukhula kweTshayina kumazwe angaphandle kuya kucotha kwiinyanga ezimbalwa ezizayo zalo nyaka njengoko amazwe asele ehambele phambili eqalisa ukuqalisa kwakhona imveliso yemizi-mveliso.

"Izinto ezichaphazela ukuthunyelwa kwe-China kumazwe angaphandle kunokuba kukuba emva kokuba imeko yobhubhani ilawulwe ngokufanelekileyo, amandla ehlabathi abuyiselwe kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwe-China kumazwe angaphandle kunokucotha."Uhlalutyo luka-Huojianguo luthe njengelona lizwe likhulu lemveliso kwiminyaka eli-11 ilandelelana, ikhonkco lemizi-mveliso laseTshayina elipheleleyo kunye nokhuphiswano oluphezulu lwemveliso aluzukwenza ukuba ukuthunyelwa kwe-China kumazwe angaphandle kuguquguquke kakhulu ngo-2021.


Ixesha lokuposa: Mar-24-2021